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ATP · Houston

Tommy Paul vs Frances Tiafoe

Date: Apr 4, 2026, 5:35 PM

Surface: Clay · Semifinal

Final result

Tommy Paul🏆
7-5 4-6 7-6
Frances Tiafoe
Our prediction: Tommy Paul · Correct Odds (reference): 1.4 / 3

Odds (reference)

Tommy Paul · 68% 32% · Frances Tiafoe

Implied probability

Match winner
Tommy Paul 1.4 Frances Tiafoe 3
First set winner
Tommy Paul 1.53 Frances Tiafoe 2.5
Total games
Over 1.83 Under 1.83

Indicative odds, subject to change. For informational purposes only.

Fan prediction

Tommy Paul · 67% 33% · Frances Tiafoe

5,664 fan prediction

Head-to-head (H2H)

Tommy Paul 4 - 3 Frances Tiafoe
  • Sat, Apr 04 Tommy Paul 2–1 Frances Tiafoe
  • Sat, Feb 17 Tommy Paul 2–0 Frances Tiafoe
  • Mon, Jan 10 Frances Tiafoe 0–2 Tommy Paul
  • Fri, Nov 12 Tommy Paul 2–1 Frances Tiafoe
  • Thu, Feb 20 Tommy Paul 0–2 Frances Tiafoe

Recent form · Tommy Paul

  • Raphael Collignon 2–1 Miami
  • Tomas Martin Etcheverry 2–0 Miami
  • Arthur Fils 1–2 Miami
  • Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 2–1 Houston
  • Tomas Martin Etcheverry 2–0 Houston

Recent form · Frances Tiafoe

  • Jenson Brooksby 2–0 Indian Wells
  • Flavio Cobolli 2–0 Indian Wells
  • Alexander Zverev 0–2 Indian Wells
  • Arthur Cazaux 2–0 Miami
  • Jakub Menšik 2–1 Miami

Trends

  • Tommy Paul Sets won 4

Momentum (by game)

Tommy Paul Frances Tiafoe

Statistics

Tommy Paul Frances Tiafoe

Service

14 Aces 4
0 Double faults 0
73/105 (70%) 1st serve % 68/112 (61%)
32/32 (100%) 2nd serve % 44/44 (100%)
52/73 (71%) 1st serve points won 44/68 (65%)
17/32 (53%) 2nd serve points won 27/44 (61%)
17 Service games played 17
0/3 (0%) Break points saved 3/4 (75%)

Points

110 Total points 107
69 Service points won 71
41 Return points won 36
4 Most points in a row 7

Games

18 Games won 17
14 Service games won 14
3 Most games in a row 3

Return

24/68 (35%) 1st return points won 21/73 (28%)
17/44 (38%) 2nd return points won 15/32 (46%)
17 Service games played 17
1 Break points won 3

Miscellaneous

1 Tiebreaks 0

Results ›