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WTA · WTA 1000 Rome

Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatek

Date: May 11, 2026, 5:50 PM

Surface: Clay · Round of 16

Final result

Naomi Osaka
2-6 1-6
Iga Swiatek🏆
Our prediction: Iga Swiatek · Correct Odds (reference): 3.75 / 1.28

Odds (reference)

Naomi Osaka · 25% 75% · Iga Swiatek

Implied probability

Match winner
Naomi Osaka 3.75 Iga Swiatek 1.28
First set winner
Naomi Osaka 3.2 Iga Swiatek 1.36
Total games
Over 1.91 Under 1.8

Indicative odds, subject to change. For informational purposes only.

Fan prediction

Naomi Osaka · 28% 72% · Iga Swiatek

10,638 fan prediction

Head-to-head (H2H)

Naomi Osaka 1 - 3 Iga Swiatek

Recent form · Naomi Osaka

Recent form · Iga Swiatek

  • Belinda Bencic 1–2 United Cup
  • Yue Yuan 2–0 Australian Open
  • Marie Bouzkova 2–0 Australian Open
  • Anna Kalinskaya 2–1 Australian Open
  • Maddison Inglis 2–0 Australian Open

Trends

  • Naomi Osaka Sets won 3
  • Iga Swiatek Sets won 3

Momentum (by game)

Naomi Osaka Iga Swiatek

Statistics

Naomi Osaka Iga Swiatek

Service

2 Aces 3
3 Double faults 1
33/61 (54%) 1st serve % 31/46 (67%)
25/28 (89%) 2nd serve % 14/15 (93%)
16/33 (48%) 1st serve points won 21/31 (68%)
9/28 (32%) 2nd serve points won 10/15 (67%)
8 Service games played 7
7/13 (53%) Break points saved 2/3 (66%)

Points

40 Total points 67
25 Service points won 31
15 Return points won 36
3 Most points in a row 7

Games

3 Games won 12
2 Service games won 6
2 Most games in a row 6

Return

10/31 (32%) 1st return points won 17/33 (51%)
5/15 (33%) 2nd return points won 19/28 (67%)
7 Service games played 8
1 Break points won 6

Miscellaneous

0 Tiebreaks 0

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