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ATP · Indian Wells

Matteo Berrettini vs Adrian Mannarino

Date: Mar 4, 2026, 11:00 PM

Surface: Hard

Final result

Matteo Berrettini🏆
4-6 7-5 7-5
Adrian Mannarino
Our prediction: Matteo Berrettini · Correct Odds (reference): 1.44 / 2.75

Odds (reference)

Matteo Berrettini · 66% 34% · Adrian Mannarino

Implied probability

Match winner
Matteo Berrettini 1.44 Adrian Mannarino 2.75
First set winner
Matteo Berrettini 1.53 Adrian Mannarino 2.5
Total games
Over 2 Under 1.73

Indicative odds, subject to change. For informational purposes only.

Fan prediction

Matteo Berrettini · 60% 40% · Adrian Mannarino

7,502 fan prediction

Head-to-head (H2H)

Matteo Berrettini 1 - 2 Adrian Mannarino
  • Wed, Mar 04 Matteo Berrettini 2–1 Adrian Mannarino
  • Wed, Oct 01 Adrian Mannarino 2–0 Matteo Berrettini
  • Tue, Jan 16 Matteo Berrettini 0–3 Adrian Mannarino

Recent form · Matteo Berrettini

  • Tomás Barrios Vera 2–0 Rio de Janeiro
  • Dušan Lajović 2–1 Rio de Janeiro
  • Ignacio Buse 1–2 Rio de Janeiro
  • Emilio Nava 0–2 Santiago
  • Adrian Mannarino 2–1 Indian Wells

Recent form · Adrian Mannarino

  • Ugo Humbert 2–1 Montpellier
  • Arthur Gea 2–1 Montpellier
  • Martin Damm Jr 2–1 Montpellier
  • Felix Auger-Aliassime 0–2 Montpellier
  • Adam Walton 2–0 Dallas

Momentum (by game)

Matteo Berrettini Adrian Mannarino

Statistics

Matteo Berrettini Adrian Mannarino

Service

14 Aces 6
3 Double faults 2
69/100 (69%) 1st serve % 73/113 (65%)
28/31 (90%) 2nd serve % 38/40 (95%)
51/69 (74%) 1st serve points won 51/73 (70%)
16/31 (52%) 2nd serve points won 18/40 (45%)
17 Service games played 17
6/8 (75%) Break points saved 4/7 (57%)

Points

111 Total points 102
67 Service points won 69
44 Return points won 33
7 Most points in a row 7

Games

18 Games won 16
14 Service games won 13
3 Most games in a row 4

Return

22/73 (30%) 1st return points won 18/69 (26%)
22/40 (55%) 2nd return points won 15/31 (48%)
17 Service games played 17
3 Break points won 2

Miscellaneous

0 Tiebreaks 0

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