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Grand Slam · Roland Garros

Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Date: May 28, 2026, 5:50 PM

Surface: Clay

Final result

Matteo Arnaldi🏆
7-6 5-7 6-3 6-2
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Our prediction: Stefanos Tsitsipas · Missed Odds (reference): 2.5 / 1.53

Odds (reference)

Matteo Arnaldi · 38% 62% · Stefanos Tsitsipas

Implied probability

Match winner
Matteo Arnaldi 2.5 Stefanos Tsitsipas 1.53
First set winner
Matteo Arnaldi 2.3 Stefanos Tsitsipas 1.62
Total games
Over 1.83 Under 1.83

Indicative odds, subject to change. For informational purposes only.

Fan prediction

Matteo Arnaldi · 31% 69% · Stefanos Tsitsipas

16,377 fan prediction

Head-to-head (H2H)

Matteo Arnaldi 1 - 1 Stefanos Tsitsipas
  • Thu, May 28 Matteo Arnaldi 3–1 Stefanos Tsitsipas
  • Sun, Jun 02 Matteo Arnaldi 1–3 Stefanos Tsitsipas

Recent form · Matteo Arnaldi

  • Jacob Fearnley 0–2 Paris
  • Hugo Gaston 2–1 Brisbane
  • Rinky Hijikata -–- Brisbane
  • Andrey Rublev 0–3 Australian Open
  • Mackenzie McDonald 0–2 Indian Wells

Recent form · Stefanos Tsitsipas

  • Andrey Rublev 0–2 Doha
  • Ugo Humbert 0–2 Dubai
  • Denis Shapovalov 1–2 Indian Wells
  • Arthur Fery 2–0 Miami
  • Alex de Minaur 2–0 Miami

Trends

  • Matteo Arnaldi Sets won 3

Momentum (by game)

Matteo Arnaldi Stefanos Tsitsipas

Statistics

Matteo Arnaldi Stefanos Tsitsipas

Service

4 Aces 8
1 Double faults 4
118/128 (92%) 1st serve % 108/118 (92%)
9/10 (90%) 2nd serve % 6/10 (60%)
82/118 (69%) 1st serve points won 73/108 (68%)
5/10 (50%) 2nd serve points won 2/10 (20%)
21 Service games played 20
4/6 (66%) Break points saved 8/12 (66%)

Points

129 Total points 116
87 Service points won 75
42 Return points won 41
10 Most points in a row 11

Games

24 Games won 18
19 Service games won 16
5 Most games in a row 3

Winners

45 Total 49
33 Forehand 37
8 Backhand 4
0 Volley 0
41 Groundstroke 41
0 Lob 0
0 Overhead 0
0 Drop shot 0
0 Return 0

Errors

39 Total 32
22 Forehand 13
17 Backhand 19
39 Groundstroke 32
0 Overhead stroke 0
0 Return 0

Unforced errors

28 Total 52
15 Forehand 31
12 Backhand 17
0 Volley 0
27 Groundstroke 48
0 Lob 0
0 Drop shot 0

Return

35/108 (32%) 1st return points won 36/118 (30%)
8/10 (80%) 2nd return points won 5/10 (50%)
20 Service games played 21
4 Break points won 2

Miscellaneous

1 Tiebreaks 0

Results ›