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ATP · Indian Wells

Matteo Arnaldi vs Mackenzie McDonald

Date: Mar 6, 2026, 3:20 AM

Surface: Hard

Final result

Matteo Arnaldi
0-6 1-6
Mackenzie McDonald🏆
Our prediction: Mackenzie McDonald · Correct Odds (reference): 2.38 / 1.57

Odds (reference)

Matteo Arnaldi · 40% 60% · Mackenzie McDonald

Implied probability

Match winner
Matteo Arnaldi 2.38 Mackenzie McDonald 1.57
First set winner
Matteo Arnaldi 2.2 Mackenzie McDonald 1.67
Total games
Over 1.91 Under 1.8

Indicative odds, subject to change. For informational purposes only.

Fan prediction

Matteo Arnaldi · 59% 41% · Mackenzie McDonald

5,569 fan prediction

Head-to-head (H2H)

Matteo Arnaldi 1 - 1 Mackenzie McDonald
  • Fri, Mar 06 Matteo Arnaldi 0–2 Mackenzie McDonald
  • Wed, Aug 07 Mackenzie McDonald 1–2 Matteo Arnaldi

Recent form · Matteo Arnaldi

  • Hugo Gaston 2–1 Brisbane
  • Rinky Hijikata -–- Brisbane
  • Andrey Rublev 0–3 Australian Open
  • Mackenzie McDonald 0–2 Indian Wells
  • Aleksandr Shevchenko 1–2 Miami

Recent form · Mackenzie McDonald

  • Vitaliy Sachko 2–0 Indian Wells
  • Trevor Svajda 2–0 Indian Wells
  • Matteo Arnaldi 2–0 Indian Wells
  • Cameron Norrie 0–2 Indian Wells
  • Martin Landaluce 2–1 Cap Cana, Dominican Republic

Momentum (by game)

Matteo Arnaldi Mackenzie McDonald

Statistics

Matteo Arnaldi Mackenzie McDonald

Service

2 Aces 2
5 Double faults 0
15/34 (44%) 1st serve % 27/51 (53%)
14/19 (74%) 2nd serve % 24/24 (100%)
6/15 (40%) 1st serve points won 18/27 (67%)
7/19 (37%) 2nd serve points won 16/24 (67%)
6 Service games played 7
1/6 (16%) Break points saved 4/4 (100%)

Points

30 Total points 55
13 Service points won 34
17 Return points won 21
6 Most points in a row 7

Games

1 Games won 12
1 Service games won 7
1 Most games in a row 7

Return

9/27 (33%) 1st return points won 9/15 (60%)
8/24 (33%) 2nd return points won 12/19 (63%)
7 Service games played 6
0 Break points won 5

Miscellaneous

0 Tiebreaks 0

Results ›