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Grand Slam · Australian Open

Matteo Arnaldi vs Andrey Rublev

Date: Jan 19, 2026, 2:00 AM

Surface: Hard

Final result

Matteo Arnaldi
4-6 2-6 3-6
Andrey Rublev🏆
Our prediction: Andrey Rublev · Correct Odds (reference): 4.33 / 1.22

Odds (reference)

Matteo Arnaldi · 22% 78% · Andrey Rublev

Implied probability

Match winner
Matteo Arnaldi 4.33 Andrey Rublev 1.22
First set winner
Matteo Arnaldi 3.2 Andrey Rublev 1.36
Total games
Over 1.83 Under 1.83

Indicative odds, subject to change. For informational purposes only.

Fan prediction

Matteo Arnaldi · 9% 91% · Andrey Rublev

8,732 fan prediction

Head-to-head (H2H)

Matteo Arnaldi 2 - 3 Andrey Rublev
  • Mon, Jan 19 Matteo Arnaldi 0–3 Andrey Rublev
  • Sat, Mar 08 Andrey Rublev 0–2 Matteo Arnaldi
  • Sun, Aug 11 Andrey Rublev 2–0 Matteo Arnaldi
  • Fri, May 31 Andrey Rublev 0–3 Matteo Arnaldi
  • Thu, Oct 26 Matteo Arnaldi 0–2 Andrey Rublev

Recent form · Matteo Arnaldi

  • Hugo Gaston 2–1 Brisbane
  • Rinky Hijikata -–- Brisbane
  • Andrey Rublev 0–3 Australian Open
  • Mackenzie McDonald 0–2 Indian Wells
  • Aleksandr Shevchenko 1–2 Miami

Recent form · Andrey Rublev

  • Arthur Rinderknech 2–0 Dubai
  • Tallon Griekspoor 0–2 Dubai
  • Gabriel Diallo 1–2 Indian Wells
  • Alejandro Tabilo 1–2 Miami
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas 3–0 UTS Nimes

Momentum (by game)

Matteo Arnaldi Andrey Rublev

Statistics

Matteo Arnaldi Andrey Rublev

Service

4 Aces 8
4 Double faults 2
42/77 (55%) 1st serve % 55/80 (69%)
31/35 (89%) 2nd serve % 23/25 (92%)
27/42 (64%) 1st serve points won 40/55 (73%)
20/35 (57%) 2nd serve points won 18/25 (72%)
14 Service games played 13
6/11 (54%) Break points saved 6/6 (100%)

Points

69 Total points 88
47 Service points won 58
22 Return points won 30
5 Most points in a row 8

Games

9 Games won 18
9 Service games won 13
1 Most games in a row 5

Winners

17 Total 33
6 Forehand 21
7 Backhand 4
0 Volley 0
13 Groundstroke 25
0 Lob 0
0 Overhead 0
0 Drop shot 0
0 Return 0

Errors

31 Total 29
14 Forehand 16
17 Backhand 13
31 Groundstroke 29
0 Overhead stroke 0
0 Return 0

Unforced errors

21 Total 22
8 Forehand 15
9 Backhand 5
0 Volley 0
17 Groundstroke 20
0 Lob 0
0 Drop shot 0

Return

15/55 (27%) 1st return points won 15/42 (35%)
7/25 (28%) 2nd return points won 15/35 (42%)
13 Service games played 14
0 Break points won 5

Miscellaneous

0 Tiebreaks 0

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