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Grand Slam · Australian Open

Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomaš Machač

Date: Jan 23, 2026, 11:30 PM

Surface: Hard · Round of 32

Final result

Lorenzo Musetti🏆
5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2
Tomaš Machač
Our prediction: Lorenzo Musetti · Correct Odds (reference): 1.5 / 2.63

Odds (reference)

Lorenzo Musetti · 64% 36% · Tomaš Machač

Implied probability

Match winner
Lorenzo Musetti 1.5 Tomaš Machač 2.63
First set winner
Lorenzo Musetti 1.62 Tomaš Machač 2.3
Total games
Over 1.83 Under 1.83

Indicative odds, subject to change. For informational purposes only.

Fan prediction

Lorenzo Musetti · 74% 26% · Tomaš Machač

14,754 fan prediction

Head-to-head (H2H)

Lorenzo Musetti 1 - 1 Tomaš Machač
  • Fri, Jan 23 Lorenzo Musetti 3–2 Tomaš Machač
  • Wed, Feb 07 Tomaš Machač 2–0 Lorenzo Musetti

Recent form · Lorenzo Musetti

  • Sebastian Korda 2–1 ATP Athens, Greece Men Singles
  • Novak Djokovic 1–2 ATP Athens, Greece Men Singles
  • Taylor Fritz 0–2 ATP Finals
  • Alex de Minaur 2–1 ATP Finals
  • Carlos Alcaraz 0–2 ATP Finals

Recent form · Tomaš Machač

  • Stefanos Tsitsipas 3–1 Australian Open
  • Lorenzo Musetti 2–3 Australian Open
  • Arthur Gea 0–1 Montpellier
  • Jannik Sinner 0–2 Doha
  • Emilio Nava 2–1 Miami

Trends

  • Tomaš Machač Wins 7
  • Lorenzo Musetti Sets won 6

Momentum (by game)

Lorenzo Musetti Tomaš Machač

Statistics

Lorenzo Musetti Tomaš Machač

Service

10 Aces 3
5 Double faults 3
86/153 (56%) 1st serve % 126/197 (64%)
62/67 (93%) 2nd serve % 68/71 (96%)
63/86 (73%) 1st serve points won 77/126 (61%)
33/67 (49%) 2nd serve points won 30/71 (42%)
25 Service games played 25
10/15 (66%) Break points saved 18/26 (69%)

Points

186 Total points 164
96 Service points won 107
90 Return points won 57
8 Most points in a row 8

Games

28 Games won 22
20 Service games won 17
4 Most games in a row 3

Winners

55 Total 54
23 Forehand 34
22 Backhand 17
0 Volley 0
45 Groundstroke 51
0 Lob 0
0 Overhead 0
0 Drop shot 0
0 Return 0

Errors

57 Total 49
36 Forehand 30
21 Backhand 19
57 Groundstroke 49
0 Overhead stroke 0
0 Return 0

Unforced errors

53 Total 82
25 Forehand 41
23 Backhand 38
0 Volley 0
48 Groundstroke 79
0 Lob 0
0 Drop shot 0

Return

49/126 (38%) 1st return points won 23/86 (26%)
41/71 (57%) 2nd return points won 34/67 (50%)
25 Service games played 25
8 Break points won 5

Miscellaneous

0 Tiebreaks 0

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