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ATP · Hong Kong Men Singles

Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Bublik

Date: Jan 11, 2026, 7:30 AM

Surface: Hard · Final

Final result

Lorenzo Musetti
6-7 3-6
Alexander Bublik🏆
Our prediction: Alexander Bublik · Correct Odds (reference): 2 / 1.8

Odds (reference)

Lorenzo Musetti · 47% 53% · Alexander Bublik

Implied probability

Match winner
Lorenzo Musetti 2 Alexander Bublik 1.8
First set winner
Lorenzo Musetti 2 Alexander Bublik 1.8
Total games
Over 1.83 Under 1.83

Indicative odds, subject to change. For informational purposes only.

Fan prediction

Lorenzo Musetti · 43% 57% · Alexander Bublik

8,271 fan prediction

Head-to-head (H2H)

Lorenzo Musetti 1 - 3 Alexander Bublik
  • Sun, Jan 11 Lorenzo Musetti 0–2 Alexander Bublik
  • Fri, Jun 14 Lorenzo Musetti 1–1 Alexander Bublik
  • Thu, Jan 11 Lorenzo Musetti 1–2 Alexander Bublik
  • Mon, Jun 13 Lorenzo Musetti -–- Alexander Bublik

Recent form · Lorenzo Musetti

Recent form · Alexander Bublik

  • Rinky Hijikata 1–2 Indian Wells
  • Matteo Berrettini 0–2 Miami
  • Ugo Humbert 3–2 UTS Nimes
  • Casper Ruud 0–3 UTS Nimes
  • Gael Monfils 2–0 Monte Carlo

Trends

  • Lorenzo Musetti Wins 3
  • Alexander Bublik Wins 3

Momentum (by game)

Lorenzo Musetti Alexander Bublik

Statistics

Lorenzo Musetti Alexander Bublik

Service

5 Aces 10
1 Double faults 4
50/73 (68%) 1st serve % 52/67 (78%)
22/23 (96%) 2nd serve % 11/15 (73%)
30/50 (60%) 1st serve points won 40/52 (77%)
14/23 (61%) 2nd serve points won 7/15 (47%)
11 Service games played 10
4/7 (57%) Break points saved 2/3 (66%)

Points

64 Total points 76
44 Service points won 47
20 Return points won 29
5 Most points in a row 6

Games

9 Games won 13
7 Service games won 9
1 Most games in a row 2

Return

12/52 (23%) 1st return points won 20/50 (40%)
8/15 (53%) 2nd return points won 9/23 (39%)
10 Service games played 11
1 Break points won 3

Miscellaneous

0 Tiebreaks 1

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