Grand Slam · Australian Open
Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys
Date: Jan 26, 2026, 12:30 AM
Final result
Jessica Pegula🏆
6-3 6-4
Madison Keys
Odds (reference)
Jessica Pegula · 59% 41% · Madison Keys
Implied probability
Match winner
Jessica Pegula 1.62 Madison Keys 2.3
First set winner
Jessica Pegula 1.67 Madison Keys 2.2
Total games
Over 1.83 Under 1.83
Indicative odds, subject to change. For informational purposes only.
Fan prediction
Jessica Pegula · 72% 28% · Madison Keys
12,101 fan prediction
Head-to-head (H2H)
Jessica Pegula 3 - 2 Madison Keys
- Fri, Jun 19 Jessica Pegula 2–0 Madison Keys
- Mon, Jan 26 Jessica Pegula 2–0 Madison Keys
- Sat, Jan 11 Jessica Pegula 1–2 Madison Keys
- Mon, Sep 04 Madison Keys 2–0 Jessica Pegula
- Fri, Oct 14 Jessica Pegula 2–0 Madison Keys
Recent form · Jessica Pegula
✓✗✓✓✓
- ✓ Jaqueline Cristian 2–0 Miami
- ✗ Elena Rybakina 1–2 Miami
- ✓ Yulia Putintseva 2–1 Charleston
- ✓ Elisabetta Cocciaretto 2–1 Charleston
- ✓ Diana Shnaider 2–1 Charleston
Recent form · Madison Keys
✓✗✓✗✓
- ✓ Diane Parry 2–0 Indian Wells
- ✗ Sonay Kartal 1–2 Indian Wells
- ✓ Elena-Gabriela Ruse 2–0 Miami
- ✗ Qinwen Zheng 1–2 Miami
- ✓ Donna Vekić 2–0 Charleston
Trends
- Jessica Pegula Wins 3
- Madison Keys Wins 3
- Jessica Pegula Sets won 6
- Madison Keys Sets won 6
Momentum (by game)
Jessica Pegula Madison Keys
Statistics
Jessica Pegula Madison Keys
Service
2 Aces 4
1 Double faults 6
39/66 (59%) 1st serve % 38/60 (63%)
26/27 (96%) 2nd serve % 16/22 (73%)
27/39 (69%) 1st serve points won 23/38 (61%)
13/27 (48%) 2nd serve points won 7/22 (32%)
10 Service games played 9
4/6 (66%) Break points saved 1/5 (20%)
Points
69 Total points 56
40 Service points won 30
29 Return points won 26
5 Most points in a row 6
Games
12 Games won 7
8 Service games won 5
4 Most games in a row 2
Winners
12 Total 25
6 Forehand 14
4 Backhand 7
0 Volley 0
10 Groundstroke 21
0 Lob 0
0 Overhead 0
0 Drop shot 0
0 Return 0
Errors
17 Total 27
11 Forehand 15
6 Backhand 12
17 Groundstroke 27
0 Overhead stroke 0
0 Return 0
Unforced errors
13 Total 28
6 Forehand 16
6 Backhand 6
0 Volley 0
12 Groundstroke 22
0 Lob 0
0 Drop shot 0
Return
15/38 (39%) 1st return points won 12/39 (30%)
15/22 (68%) 2nd return points won 14/27 (51%)
9 Service games played 10
4 Break points won 2
Miscellaneous
0 Tiebreaks 0