Grand Slam · Australian Open
Frances Tiafoe vs Alex de Minaur
Date: Jan 23, 2026, 8:10 AM
Final result
Frances Tiafoe
3-6 4-6 5-7
Alex de Minaur🏆
Odds (reference)
Frances Tiafoe · 21% 79% · Alex de Minaur
Implied probability
Match winner
Frances Tiafoe 4.5 ▲ Alex de Minaur 1.2 ▼
First set winner
Frances Tiafoe 3.4 ▲ Alex de Minaur 1.33 ▼
Total games
Over 1.83 Under 1.83
Indicative odds, subject to change. For informational purposes only.
Fan prediction
Frances Tiafoe · 13% 87% · Alex de Minaur
11,981 fan prediction
Head-to-head (H2H)
Frances Tiafoe 1 - 5 Alex de Minaur
- Fri, Jan 23 Frances Tiafoe 0–3 Alex de Minaur
- Sun, Aug 03 Frances Tiafoe 1–2 Alex de Minaur
- Thu, Nov 03 Alex de Minaur 0–2 Frances Tiafoe
- Fri, Nov 08 Alex de Minaur 3–1 Frances Tiafoe
- Thu, Aug 30 Alex de Minaur 3–1 Frances Tiafoe
Recent form · Frances Tiafoe
✓✓✗✓✓
- ✓ Jenson Brooksby 2–0 Indian Wells
- ✓ Flavio Cobolli 2–0 Indian Wells
- ✗ Alexander Zverev 0–2 Indian Wells
- ✓ Arthur Cazaux 2–0 Miami
- ✓ Jakub Menšik 2–1 Miami
Recent form · Alex de Minaur
✗✓✗✗✓
- ✗ Patrick Kypson 1–2 Acapulco
- ✓ Sebastian Korda 2–1 Indian Wells
- ✗ Cameron Norrie 0–2 Indian Wells
- ✗ Stefanos Tsitsipas 0–2 Miami
- ✓ Cameron Norrie 2–1 Monte Carlo
Trends
- Alex de Minaur Wins 4
- Alex de Minaur Sets won 3
Momentum (by game)
Frances Tiafoe Alex de Minaur
Statistics
Frances Tiafoe Alex de Minaur
Service
6 Aces 8
1 Double faults 6
60/101 (59%) 1st serve % 60/97 (62%)
40/41 (98%) 2nd serve % 31/37 (84%)
35/60 (58%) 1st serve points won 46/60 (77%)
22/41 (54%) 2nd serve points won 20/37 (54%)
15 Service games played 16
7/12 (58%) Break points saved 3/5 (60%)
Points
88 Total points 110
57 Service points won 66
31 Return points won 44
5 Most points in a row 6
Games
12 Games won 19
10 Service games won 14
3 Most games in a row 3
Winners
22 Total 30
13 Forehand 13
3 Backhand 9
0 Volley 0
16 Groundstroke 22
0 Lob 0
0 Overhead 0
0 Drop shot 0
0 Return 0
Errors
39 Total 35
19 Forehand 24
20 Backhand 11
39 Groundstroke 35
0 Overhead stroke 0
0 Return 0
Unforced errors
40 Total 28
24 Forehand 9
15 Backhand 13
0 Volley 0
39 Groundstroke 22
0 Lob 0
0 Drop shot 0
Return
14/60 (23%) 1st return points won 25/60 (41%)
17/37 (45%) 2nd return points won 19/41 (46%)
16 Service games played 15
2 Break points won 5
Miscellaneous
0 Tiebreaks 0