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Grand Slam · Australian Open

Denis Shapovalov vs Marin Čilić

Date: Jan 22, 2026, 6:10 AM

Surface: Hard

Final result

Denis Shapovalov
4-6 3-6 2-6
Marin Čilić🏆
Our prediction: Denis Shapovalov · Missed Odds (reference): 1.67 / 2.2

Odds (reference)

Denis Shapovalov · 57% 43% · Marin Čilić

Implied probability

Match winner
Denis Shapovalov 1.67 Marin Čilić 2.2
First set winner
Denis Shapovalov 1.73 Marin Čilić 2.1
Total games
Over 1.8 Under 1.91

Indicative odds, subject to change. For informational purposes only.

Fan prediction

Denis Shapovalov · 76% 24% · Marin Čilić

11,353 fan prediction

Head-to-head (H2H)

Denis Shapovalov 3 - 4 Marin Čilić
  • Mon, Jun 08 Marin Čilić 2–1 Denis Shapovalov
  • Thu, Jan 22 Denis Shapovalov 0–3 Marin Čilić
  • Fri, Jun 11 Denis Shapovalov 0–2 Marin Čilić
  • Sun, Aug 23 Denis Shapovalov 2–0 Marin Čilić
  • Thu, Feb 20 Marin Čilić 1–2 Denis Shapovalov

Recent form · Denis Shapovalov

  • Daniil Medvedev 0–1 World Tennis League
  • Sumit Nagal 0–1 World Tennis League
  • Raphael Collignon 0–2 Brisbane
  • Jordan Thompson 1–2 Kooyong Classic
  • Yunchaokete Bu 3–0 Australian Open

Recent form · Marin Čilić

  • Otto Virtanen 0–2 Helsinki, Finland
  • Adrian Mannarino 2–0 Hong Kong Men Singles
  • Nuno Borges 0–2 Hong Kong Men Singles
  • Learner Tien 1–2 Kooyong Classic
  • Daniel Altmaier 3–0 Australian Open

Trends

  • Denis Shapovalov Sets won 3
  • Marin Čilić Sets won 3

Momentum (by game)

Denis Shapovalov Marin Čilić

Statistics

Denis Shapovalov Marin Čilić

Service

3 Aces 5
7 Double faults 5
47/82 (57%) 1st serve % 54/91 (59%)
28/35 (80%) 2nd serve % 32/37 (86%)
29/47 (62%) 1st serve points won 43/54 (80%)
12/35 (34%) 2nd serve points won 17/37 (46%)
13 Service games played 14
6/12 (50%) Break points saved 4/6 (66%)

Points

71 Total points 100
41 Service points won 60
30 Return points won 40
5 Most points in a row 8

Games

9 Games won 18
7 Service games won 12
3 Most games in a row 5

Winners

12 Total 19
7 Forehand 7
2 Backhand 7
0 Volley 0
9 Groundstroke 14
0 Lob 0
0 Overhead 0
0 Drop shot 0
0 Return 0

Errors

38 Total 35
23 Forehand 18
15 Backhand 17
38 Groundstroke 35
0 Overhead stroke 0
0 Return 0

Unforced errors

42 Total 24
16 Forehand 10
19 Backhand 9
0 Volley 0
35 Groundstroke 19
0 Lob 0
0 Drop shot 0

Return

11/54 (20%) 1st return points won 18/47 (38%)
20/37 (54%) 2nd return points won 23/35 (65%)
14 Service games played 13
2 Break points won 6

Miscellaneous

0 Tiebreaks 0

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