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ATP · Indian Wells

Denis Shapovalov vs Jannik Sinner

Date: Mar 8, 2026, 10:30 PM

Surface: Hard · Round of 32

Final result

Denis Shapovalov
3-6 2-6
Jannik Sinner🏆
Our prediction: Jannik Sinner · Correct Odds (reference): 13 / 1.04

Odds (reference)

Denis Shapovalov · 7% 93% · Jannik Sinner

Implied probability

Match winner
Denis Shapovalov 13 Jannik Sinner 1.04
First set winner
Denis Shapovalov 6.5 Jannik Sinner 1.11
Total games
Over 1.8 Under 1.91

Indicative odds, subject to change. For informational purposes only.

Fan prediction

Denis Shapovalov · 10% 90% · Jannik Sinner

10,469 fan prediction

Head-to-head (H2H)

Denis Shapovalov 1 - 2 Jannik Sinner
  • Sun, Mar 08 Denis Shapovalov 0–2 Jannik Sinner
  • Sat, Aug 30 Jannik Sinner 3–1 Denis Shapovalov
  • Mon, Feb 08 Denis Shapovalov 3–2 Jannik Sinner

Recent form · Denis Shapovalov

  • Daniil Medvedev 0–1 World Tennis League
  • Sumit Nagal 0–1 World Tennis League
  • Raphael Collignon 0–2 Brisbane
  • Jordan Thompson 1–2 Kooyong Classic
  • Yunchaokete Bu 3–0 Australian Open

Recent form · Jannik Sinner

  • Alexander Zverev 2–0 Indian Wells
  • Daniil Medvedev 2–0 Indian Wells
  • Damir Džumhur 2–0 Miami
  • Corentin Moutet 2–0 Miami
  • Alex Michelsen 2–0 Miami

Momentum (by game)

Denis Shapovalov Jannik Sinner

Statistics

Denis Shapovalov Jannik Sinner

Service

2 Aces 6
7 Double faults 2
34/56 (61%) 1st serve % 33/43 (77%)
15/22 (68%) 2nd serve % 8/10 (80%)
21/34 (62%) 1st serve points won 28/33 (85%)
5/22 (23%) 2nd serve points won 4/10 (40%)
8 Service games played 9
4/8 (50%) Break points saved 0/1 (0%)

Points

37 Total points 62
26 Service points won 32
11 Return points won 30
4 Most points in a row 12

Games

5 Games won 12
4 Service games won 8
1 Most games in a row 5

Return

5/33 (15%) 1st return points won 13/34 (38%)
6/10 (60%) 2nd return points won 17/22 (77%)
9 Service games played 8
1 Break points won 4

Miscellaneous

0 Tiebreaks 0

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