Grand Slam · Australian Open
Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul
Date: Jan 25, 2026, 2:40 AM
Final result
Carlos Alcaraz🏆
7-6 6-4 7-5
Tommy Paul
Odds (reference)
Carlos Alcaraz · 88% 12% · Tommy Paul
Implied probability
Match winner
Carlos Alcaraz 1.08 Tommy Paul 8
First set winner
Carlos Alcaraz 1.25 ▲ Tommy Paul 4 ▼
Total games
Over 1.83 Under 1.83
Indicative odds, subject to change. For informational purposes only.
Fan prediction
Carlos Alcaraz · 89% 11% · Tommy Paul
17,436 fan prediction
Head-to-head (H2H)
Carlos Alcaraz 6 - 2 Tommy Paul
- Sun, Jan 25 Carlos Alcaraz 3–0 Tommy Paul
- Tue, Jun 03 Tommy Paul 0–3 Carlos Alcaraz
- Thu, Aug 01 Tommy Paul 0–2 Carlos Alcaraz
- Tue, Jul 09 Carlos Alcaraz 3–1 Tommy Paul
- Thu, Aug 17 Carlos Alcaraz 2–1 Tommy Paul
Recent form · Carlos Alcaraz
✗✓✓✓✓
- ✗ Frances Tiafoe 1–2 A Racquet at The Rock
- ✓ Joao Fonseca 2–1 Miami Invitational
- ✓ Jannik Sinner 2–0 South Korea Exhibition
- ✓ Adam Walton 3–0 Australian Open
- ✓ Yannick Hanfmann 3–0 Australian Open
Recent form · Tommy Paul
✓✓✗✓✓
- ✓ Raphael Collignon 2–1 Miami
- ✓ Tomas Martin Etcheverry 2–0 Miami
- ✗ Arthur Fils 1–2 Miami
- ✓ Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 2–1 Houston
- ✓ Tomas Martin Etcheverry 2–0 Houston
Trends
- Carlos Alcaraz Wins 5
- Tommy Paul Wins 3
- Carlos Alcaraz Sets won 12
- Tommy Paul Sets won 8
Momentum (by game)
Carlos Alcaraz Tommy Paul
Statistics
Carlos Alcaraz Tommy Paul
Service
2 Aces 7
0 Double faults 5
69/94 (73%) 1st serve % 65/109 (60%)
25/25 (100%) 2nd serve % 39/44 (89%)
54/69 (78%) 1st serve points won 52/65 (80%)
17/25 (68%) 2nd serve points won 19/44 (43%)
17 Service games played 17
1/2 (50%) Break points saved 7/10 (70%)
Points
109 Total points 94
71 Service points won 71
38 Return points won 23
6 Most points in a row 5
Games
20 Games won 15
16 Service games won 14
3 Most games in a row 2
Winners
32 Total 27
27 Forehand 14
3 Backhand 6
0 Volley 0
30 Groundstroke 20
0 Lob 0
0 Overhead 0
0 Drop shot 0
0 Return 0
Errors
39 Total 39
15 Forehand 22
24 Backhand 17
39 Groundstroke 39
0 Overhead stroke 0
0 Return 0
Unforced errors
28 Total 35
10 Forehand 22
18 Backhand 8
0 Volley 0
28 Groundstroke 30
0 Lob 0
0 Drop shot 0
Return
13/65 (20%) 1st return points won 15/69 (21%)
25/44 (56%) 2nd return points won 8/25 (32%)
17 Service games played 17
3 Break points won 1
Miscellaneous
1 Tiebreaks 0