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ATP · Miami

Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Korda

Date: Mar 22, 2026, 6:50 PM

Surface: Hard · Round of 32

Final result

Carlos Alcaraz
3-6 7-5 4-6
Sebastian Korda🏆
Our prediction: Carlos Alcaraz · Missed Odds (reference): 1.11 / 6.5

Odds (reference)

Carlos Alcaraz · 85% 15% · Sebastian Korda

Implied probability

Match winner
Carlos Alcaraz 1.11 Sebastian Korda 6.5
First set winner
Carlos Alcaraz 1.2 Sebastian Korda 4.5
Total games
Over 1.83 Under 1.83

Indicative odds, subject to change. For informational purposes only.

Fan prediction

Carlos Alcaraz · 92% 8% · Sebastian Korda

10,798 fan prediction

Head-to-head (H2H)

Carlos Alcaraz 4 - 2 Sebastian Korda
  • Sun, Mar 22 Carlos Alcaraz 1–2 Sebastian Korda
  • Fri, May 31 Sebastian Korda 0–3 Carlos Alcaraz
  • Sat, Jun 24 Carlos Alcaraz 2–0 Sebastian Korda
  • Fri, May 27 Sebastian Korda 0–3 Carlos Alcaraz
  • Wed, Apr 13 Sebastian Korda 2–1 Carlos Alcaraz

Recent form · Carlos Alcaraz

  • Frances Tiafoe 1–2 A Racquet at The Rock
  • Joao Fonseca 2–1 Miami Invitational
  • Jannik Sinner 2–0 South Korea Exhibition
  • Adam Walton 3–0 Australian Open
  • Yannick Hanfmann 3–0 Australian Open

Recent form · Sebastian Korda

  • Lorenzo Musetti 1–2 ATP Athens, Greece Men Singles
  • Valentin Vacherot 2–0 Brisbane
  • Jiri Lehečka 1–0 Brisbane
  • Alex Michelsen 0–2 Brisbane
  • Thanasi Kokkinakis 1–2 Adelaide

Momentum (by game)

Carlos Alcaraz Sebastian Korda

Statistics

Carlos Alcaraz Sebastian Korda

Service

2 Aces 12
2 Double faults 0
64/94 (68%) 1st serve % 72/104 (69%)
28/30 (93%) 2nd serve % 32/32 (100%)
45/64 (70%) 1st serve points won 50/72 (69%)
13/30 (43%) 2nd serve points won 15/32 (47%)
15 Service games played 16
2/5 (40%) Break points saved 3/5 (60%)

Points

97 Total points 101
58 Service points won 65
39 Return points won 36
8 Most points in a row 5

Games

14 Games won 17
12 Service games won 14
5 Most games in a row 3

Return

22/72 (30%) 1st return points won 19/64 (29%)
17/32 (53%) 2nd return points won 17/30 (56%)
16 Service games played 15
2 Break points won 3

Miscellaneous

0 Tiebreaks 0

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