ATP · Indian Wells Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev Date: Mar 14, 2026, 10:20 PM Surface: Hard · Semifinal Final result Carlos Alcaraz 3-6 6-7 Daniil Medvedev🏆 ✗ Our prediction: Carlos Alcaraz · Missed Odds (reference): 1.17 / 5 Odds (reference) Carlos Alcaraz · 81% 19% · Daniil Medvedev Implied probability Match winner Carlos Alcaraz 1.17 ▼ Daniil Medvedev 5 ▲ First set winner Carlos Alcaraz 1.29 Daniil Medvedev 3.75 Total games Over 1.83 Under 1.83 Indicative odds, subject to change. For informational purposes only. Head-to-head (H2H) Carlos Alcaraz 6 - 3 Daniil Medvedev Recent form · Carlos Alcaraz ✗✓✓✓✓ ✗ Frances Tiafoe 1–2 A Racquet at The Rock ✓ Joao Fonseca 2–1 Miami Invitational ✓ Jannik Sinner 2–0 South Korea Exhibition ✓ Adam Walton 3–0 Australian Open ✓ Yannick Hanfmann 3–0 Australian Open Recent form · Daniil Medvedev ✓✓✓✓✓ ✓ Stan Wawrinka 2–0 Dubai ✓ Jenson Brooksby 2–0 Dubai ✓ Felix Auger-Aliassime 2–0 Dubai ✓ Tallon Griekspoor -–- Dubai ✓ Alejandro Tabilo 2–0 Indian Wells Results ›