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Grand Slam · Australian Open

Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev

Date: Jan 30, 2026, 3:45 AM

Surface: Hard · Semifinal

Final result

Carlos Alcaraz🏆
6-4 7-6 6-7 6-7 7-5
Alexander Zverev
Our prediction: Carlos Alcaraz · Correct Odds (reference): 1.14 / 5.5

Odds (reference)

Carlos Alcaraz · 83% 17% · Alexander Zverev

Implied probability

Match winner
Carlos Alcaraz 1.14 Alexander Zverev 5.5
First set winner
Carlos Alcaraz 1.33 Alexander Zverev 3.4
Total games
Over 1.83 Under 1.83

Indicative odds, subject to change. For informational purposes only.

Fan prediction

Carlos Alcaraz · 81% 19% · Alexander Zverev

32,691 fan prediction

Head-to-head (H2H)

Carlos Alcaraz 6 - 4 Alexander Zverev
  • Fri, Jan 30 Carlos Alcaraz 3–2 Alexander Zverev
  • Sat, Aug 16 Alexander Zverev 0–2 Carlos Alcaraz
  • Fri, Nov 15 Alexander Zverev 2–0 Carlos Alcaraz
  • Sun, Jun 09 Alexander Zverev 2–3 Carlos Alcaraz
  • Thu, Mar 14 Alexander Zverev 0–2 Carlos Alcaraz

Recent form · Carlos Alcaraz

  • Frances Tiafoe 1–2 A Racquet at The Rock
  • Joao Fonseca 2–1 Miami Invitational
  • Jannik Sinner 2–0 South Korea Exhibition
  • Adam Walton 3–0 Australian Open
  • Yannick Hanfmann 3–0 Australian Open

Recent form · Alexander Zverev

  • Miomir Kecmanović 2–1 Munich
  • Gabriel Diallo 2–0 Munich
  • Francisco Cerundolo 2–1 Munich
  • Flavio Cobolli 0–2 Munich
  • Mariano Navone 2–1 ATP Madrid Masters

Trends

  • Carlos Alcaraz Wins 7
  • Alexander Zverev Wins 5
  • Carlos Alcaraz Sets won 18

Momentum (by game)

Carlos Alcaraz Alexander Zverev

Statistics

Carlos Alcaraz Alexander Zverev

Service

12 Aces 17
5 Double faults 4
124/187 (66%) 1st serve % 150/207 (72%)
58/63 (92%) 2nd serve % 53/57 (93%)
91/124 (73%) 1st serve points won 107/150 (71%)
39/63 (62%) 2nd serve points won 30/57 (53%)
29 Service games played 28
5/7 (71%) Break points saved 10/14 (71%)

Points

196 Total points 194
130 Service points won 137
66 Return points won 57
7 Most points in a row 7

Games

32 Games won 29
27 Service games won 25
4 Most games in a row 3

Winners

76 Total 52
47 Forehand 25
17 Backhand 10
0 Volley 0
64 Groundstroke 35
0 Lob 0
0 Overhead 0
0 Drop shot 0
0 Return 0

Errors

80 Total 67
44 Forehand 34
36 Backhand 33
80 Groundstroke 67
0 Overhead stroke 0
0 Return 0

Unforced errors

58 Total 55
33 Forehand 29
20 Backhand 22
0 Volley 0
53 Groundstroke 51
0 Lob 0
0 Drop shot 0

Return

43/150 (28%) 1st return points won 33/124 (26%)
27/57 (47%) 2nd return points won 24/63 (38%)
28 Service games played 29
4 Break points won 2

Miscellaneous

1 Tiebreaks 2

Results ›