WTA · Indian Wells
Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka
Date: Mar 10, 2026, 6:00 PM
Final result
Aryna Sabalenka🏆
6-2 6-4
Naomi Osaka
Odds (reference)
Aryna Sabalenka · 81% 19% · Naomi Osaka
Implied probability
Match winner
Aryna Sabalenka 1.17 ▼ Naomi Osaka 5 ▲
First set winner
Aryna Sabalenka 1.25 ▼ Naomi Osaka 4 ▲
Total games
Over 2 ▲ Under 1.73 ▼
Indicative odds, subject to change. For informational purposes only.
Fan prediction
Aryna Sabalenka · 85% 15% · Naomi Osaka
8,964 fan prediction
Head-to-head (H2H)
Aryna Sabalenka 5 - 1 Naomi Osaka
- Mon, Jun 01 Aryna Sabalenka 2–0 Naomi Osaka
- Mon, Apr 27 Aryna Sabalenka 2–1 Naomi Osaka
- Tue, Mar 10 Aryna Sabalenka 2–0 Naomi Osaka
- Tue, Dec 09 Naomi Osaka 0–2 Aryna Sabalenka
- Sat, Dec 06 Aryna Sabalenka 2–1 Naomi Osaka
Recent form · Aryna Sabalenka
✓✓✗✓✓
- ✓ Iva Jović 2–0 Australian Open
- ✓ Elina Svitolina 2–0 Australian Open
- ✗ Elena Rybakina 1–2 Australian Open
- ✓ Himeno Sakatsume 2–0 Indian Wells
- ✓ Jaqueline Cristian 2–0 Indian Wells
Recent form · Naomi Osaka
✗✗✗✓✓
- ✗ Aryna Sabalenka 1–2 The Atlanta Cup
- ✗ Aryna Sabalenka 0–2 The Garden Cup
- ✗ Maria Sakkari 0–2 United Cup
- ✓ Katie Swan 2–0 United Cup
- ✓ Antonia Ružić 2–1 Australian Open
Trends
- Aryna Sabalenka Sets won 4
Momentum (by game)
Aryna Sabalenka Naomi Osaka
Statistics
Aryna Sabalenka Naomi Osaka
Service
8 Aces 4
0 Double faults 4
42/56 (75%) 1st serve % 43/68 (63%)
14/14 (100%) 2nd serve % 21/25 (84%)
32/42 (76%) 1st serve points won 25/43 (58%)
7/14 (50%) 2nd serve points won 12/25 (48%)
9 Service games played 9
2/2 (100%) Break points saved 6/9 (66%)
Points
70 Total points 54
39 Service points won 37
31 Return points won 17
6 Most points in a row 5
Games
12 Games won 6
9 Service games won 6
3 Most games in a row 1
Return
18/43 (41%) 1st return points won 10/42 (23%)
13/25 (52%) 2nd return points won 7/14 (50%)
9 Service games played 9
3 Break points won 0
Miscellaneous
0 Tiebreaks 0