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Grand Slam · Australian Open

Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaur

Date: Jan 25, 2026, 8:10 AM

Surface: Hard · Round of 16

Final result

Alexander Bublik
4-6 1-6 1-6
Alex de Minaur🏆
✓ Our prediction: Alex de Minaur · Correct Odds (reference): 2.38 / 1.57

Odds (reference)

Alexander Bublik · 40% 60% · Alex de Minaur

Implied probability

Match winner
Alexander Bublik 2.38 ▲ Alex de Minaur 1.57 ▼
First set winner
Alexander Bublik 2.2 ▲ Alex de Minaur 1.67 ▼
Total games
Over 1.83 Under 1.83

Indicative odds, subject to change. For informational purposes only.

Fan prediction

Alexander Bublik · 46% 54% · Alex de Minaur

18,835 fan prediction

Head-to-head (H2H)

Alexander Bublik 2 - 4 Alex de Minaur
  • Sun, Jan 25 Alexander Bublik 0–3 Alex de Minaur
  • Fri, Oct 31 Alexander Bublik 2–1 Alex de Minaur
  • Thu, May 29 Alex de Minaur 2–3 Alexander Bublik
  • Sun, Mar 10 Alexander Bublik 0–2 Alex de Minaur
  • Wed, Apr 21 Alex de Minaur 2–0 Alexander Bublik

Recent form · Alexander Bublik

✗✗✓✗✓
  • ✗ Rinky Hijikata 1–2 Indian Wells
  • ✗ Matteo Berrettini 0–2 Miami
  • ✓ Ugo Humbert 3–2 UTS Nimes
  • ✗ Casper Ruud 0–3 UTS Nimes
  • ✓ Gael Monfils 2–0 Monte Carlo

Recent form · Alex de Minaur

✗✓✗✗✓
  • ✗ Patrick Kypson 1–2 Acapulco
  • ✓ Sebastian Korda 2–1 Indian Wells
  • ✗ Cameron Norrie 0–2 Indian Wells
  • ✗ Stefanos Tsitsipas 0–2 Miami
  • ✓ Cameron Norrie 2–1 Monte Carlo

Trends

  • Alexander Bublik Wins 3
  • Alex de Minaur Wins 5
  • Alexander Bublik Sets won 9
  • Alex de Minaur Sets won 6

Momentum (by game)

Alexander Bublik Alex de Minaur

Statistics

Alexander Bublik Alex de Minaur

Service

6 Aces 5
4 Double faults 1
54/81 (67%) 1st serve % 38/62 (61%)
23/27 (85%) 2nd serve % 23/24 (96%)
28/54 (52%) 1st serve points won 31/38 (82%)
12/27 (44%) 2nd serve points won 17/24 (71%)
12 Service games played 12
5/11 (45%) Break points saved 0/0 (0%)

Points

54 Total points 89
40 Service points won 48
14 Return points won 41
4 Most points in a row 7

Games

6 Games won 18
6 Service games won 12
1 Most games in a row 7

Winners

22 Total 19
10 Forehand 11
6 Backhand 3
0 Volley 0
16 Groundstroke 14
0 Lob 0
0 Overhead 0
0 Drop shot 0
0 Return 0

Errors

34 Total 21
16 Forehand 7
18 Backhand 14
34 Groundstroke 21
0 Overhead stroke 0
0 Return 0

Unforced errors

36 Total 10
14 Forehand 5
18 Backhand 4
0 Volley 0
32 Groundstroke 9
0 Lob 0
0 Drop shot 0

Return

7/38 (18%) 1st return points won 26/54 (48%)
7/24 (29%) 2nd return points won 15/27 (55%)
12 Service games played 12
0 Break points won 6

Miscellaneous

0 Tiebreaks 0

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