ATP · ATP Rome Masters
Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi
Date: May 8, 2026, 9:00 AM
Final result
Alex de Minaur
6-4 6-7 4-6
Matteo Arnaldi🏆
Odds (reference)
Alex de Minaur · 70% 30% · Matteo Arnaldi
Implied probability
Match winner
Alex de Minaur 1.36 Matteo Arnaldi 3.2
First set winner
Alex de Minaur 1.44 Matteo Arnaldi 2.75
Total games
Over 1.83 Under 1.83
Indicative odds, subject to change. For informational purposes only.
Fan prediction
Alex de Minaur · 85% 15% · Matteo Arnaldi
11,137 fan prediction
Head-to-head (H2H)
No previous meetings on record.
- Fri, May 08 Alex de Minaur 1–2 Matteo Arnaldi
- Wed, Jan 17 Alex de Minaur 3–0 Matteo Arnaldi
Recent form · Alex de Minaur
✗✓✗✗✓
- ✗ Patrick Kypson 1–2 Acapulco
- ✓ Sebastian Korda 2–1 Indian Wells
- ✗ Cameron Norrie 0–2 Indian Wells
- ✗ Stefanos Tsitsipas 0–2 Miami
- ✓ Cameron Norrie 2–1 Monte Carlo
Recent form · Matteo Arnaldi
✓✗✗✗✗
- ✓ Hugo Gaston 2–1 Brisbane
- ✗ Rinky Hijikata -–- Brisbane
- ✗ Andrey Rublev 0–3 Australian Open
- ✗ Mackenzie McDonald 0–2 Indian Wells
- ✗ Aleksandr Shevchenko 1–2 Miami
Momentum (by game)
Alex de Minaur Matteo Arnaldi
Statistics
Alex de Minaur Matteo Arnaldi
Service
3 Aces 3
2 Double faults 4
64/107 (60%) 1st serve % 61/97 (63%)
41/43 (95%) 2nd serve % 32/36 (89%)
44/64 (69%) 1st serve points won 47/61 (77%)
24/43 (56%) 2nd serve points won 20/36 (56%)
16 Service games played 16
3/5 (60%) Break points saved 5/5 (100%)
Points
98 Total points 106
68 Service points won 67
30 Return points won 39
5 Most points in a row 6
Games
16 Games won 17
14 Service games won 14
3 Most games in a row 2
Return
14/61 (22%) 1st return points won 20/64 (31%)
16/36 (44%) 2nd return points won 19/43 (44%)
16 Service games played 16
0 Break points won 2
Miscellaneous
0 Tiebreaks 1